If the Fed had done its job properly, which it has not, the Stock Market would have been up 5000 to 10,000 additional points, and GDP would have been well over 4% instead of 3%…with almost no inflation. Quantitative tightening was a killer, should have done the exact opposite!

Twitter Analysis

  • Posted using Twitter for iPhone.
  • Deep-learning probability that Mr. Trump wrote this: 6.9%
  • This tweet was probably written by staff.

Notes

This model really predicts the probability that this tweet is consistent with those posted with Android devices and inconsistent with those posted with iPhones up until Mr. Trump’s inauguration. The assumption in assigning authorship is that only Mr. Trump wrote those Android tweets and his staff wrote the others. Click here to learn how this all works.